NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SYR FSU
Points 76.9 76.2
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 44.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 18.2
Points From Free Throws 18.6 13.4
Shooting SYR FSU
Field Goals Made 25.8 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 59.7
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 18.6 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.6 19.1
Free Throw % 72.8% 70.5%
Ball Control SYR FSU
Rebounds 32.4 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.8
Turnovers 13.0 13.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.9
Steals 7.3 8.0
Fouls 15.3 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Florida St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SYR FSU
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 72.0
% of Possessions with SYR FSU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 21.0%
Player Fouled 22.9% 20.4%
Turnover 17.4% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SYR FSU
Shot Blocked 6.6% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 31.2%