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N Florida at Liberty
Thu Feb 20, 2020
7:00pm ET
Lynchburg, VA
N Florida at Liberty: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 11, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNF | adv | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-12-1 | 12-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-6-0 | 4-13-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 9-6-1 | 5-12-0 |
N Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coastal Georgia | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Charl South | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | S Car State | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Presbyterian | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NW State | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Maine | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | LSU | +22.0 | L by 12 | +10.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Iowa | +26.5 | L by 25 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | High Point | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Edward Waters | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 12/09 | Home | GA Southern | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Trinity Baptist | (Pick) | W by 41 | +41.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Florida St | +16.0 | L by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Georgia | +16.5 | L by 18 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Miami | +19.5 | L by 40 | -20.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Stetson | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Jacksonville | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Kennesaw St | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Bellarmine | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Lipscomb | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Austin Peay | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | N Alabama | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Central Ark | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Queens | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Kennesaw St | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Jacksonville | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -3.5 | L by 19 | -22.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Stetson | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Austin Peay | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| LIB -11.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -11.0 |
| Last | -10.0 | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1823 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 1576 times (86.5%).
- The team like North Florida won the game 247 times (13.5%).
- The team like North Florida did better against the spread, going 921-854-48 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 563 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 300-254-9 (54.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/20 06:57 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 06:49 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 03:47 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 12:40 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 11:40 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 10:18 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/20 08:07 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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