NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF PEAY
Points 77.6 77.1
Total Points   154.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 43.4
Points From 3-Pointers 29.7 18.5
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.3
Shooting UNF PEAY
Field Goals Made 26.4 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 61.1
Field Goal % 47.2% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 43.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 49.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 21.5
Free Throw % 77.2% 70.9%
Ball Control UNF PEAY
Rebounds 33.1 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 11.1
Turnovers 9.6 7.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.1
Steals 3.4 6.4
Fouls 14.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Austin Peay

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF PEAY
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 73.8
% of Possessions with UNF PEAY
2 Point Attempt 36.1% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 21.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 20.7%
Turnover 13.8% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 4.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF PEAY
Shot Blocked 3.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 30.4%