NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF STET
Points 77.3 76.5
Total Points   153.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.4 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 35.4 21.1
Points From Free Throws 10.5 15.0
Shooting UNF STET
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 58.5
Field Goal % 45.1% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 38.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 10.5 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 19.9
Free Throw % 77.2% 75.1%
Ball Control UNF STET
Rebounds 33.0 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 9.2
Turnovers 8.3 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.3
Steals 4.3 5.0
Fouls 14.9 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF STET
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 70.4
% of Possessions with UNF STET
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 40.4% 24.7%
Player Fouled 17.4% 21.5%
Turnover 11.9% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF STET
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 27.2%