NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF LIP
Points 79.3 81.9
Total Points   161.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 47.3
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 22.2
Points From Free Throws 9.4 12.5
Shooting UNF LIP
Field Goals Made 28.6 31.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 61.5
Field Goal % 46.5% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 23.6
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.7% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.1 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 9.4 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 12.2 16.1
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.5%
Ball Control UNF LIP
Rebounds 32.7 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.2
Turnovers 10.1 8.1
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.5
Steals 4.1 5.9
Fouls 13.2 10.4

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF LIP
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 70.5
% of Possessions with UNF LIP
2 Point Attempt 35.5% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 41.3% 24.1%
Player Fouled 14.6% 18.4%
Turnover 14.2% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF LIP
Shot Blocked 4.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 22.5%