NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF FLA
Points 73.8 92.0
Total Points   165.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.5 52.3
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 19.3
Points From Free Throws 13.8 20.4
Shooting UNF FLA
Field Goals Made 25.1 32.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 65.4
Field Goal % 40.9% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 47.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 17.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 13.8 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 27.9
Free Throw % 77.2% 73.2%
Ball Control UNF FLA
Rebounds 28.7 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 15.3
Turnovers 10.3 7.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.6
Steals 4.6 6.8
Fouls 16.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF FLA
Total Possessions 74.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 82.4
% of Possessions with UNF FLA
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 52.0%
3 Point Attempt 34.1% 19.5%
Player Fouled 18.6% 22.1%
Turnover 13.8% 10.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF FLA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 41.2%