NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF HP
Points 75.8 83.2
Total Points   159.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 18.5
Points From Free Throws 14.7 21.4
Shooting UNF HP
Field Goals Made 25.8 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 59.8
Field Goal % 44.3% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.8 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 14.7 21.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 27.4
Free Throw % 77.2% 77.9%
Ball Control UNF HP
Rebounds 28.7 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.9 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 13.4
Turnovers 8.8 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.5
Steals 3.8 4.8
Fouls 17.4 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF HP
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 76.5
% of Possessions with UNF HP
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 21.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 24.4%
Turnover 12.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF HP
Shot Blocked 4.3% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 37.9%