NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF FIU
Points 81.3 74.2
Total Points   155.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.0 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 40.3 20.6
Points From Free Throws 13.0 11.9
Shooting UNF FIU
Field Goals Made 27.4 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 62.8
Field Goal % 49.0% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.0 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 26.3 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.2% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 13.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.6 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 45.3% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 13.0 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 18.2
Free Throw % 77.2% 65.0%
Ball Control UNF FIU
Rebounds 36.0 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 22.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 10.6
Turnovers 14.6 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 4.8 9.2
Fouls 13.8 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF FIU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 73.8
% of Possessions with UNF FIU
2 Point Attempt 31.9% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 24.5%
Player Fouled 18.7% 18.9%
Turnover 20.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 12.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF FIU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 27.5%