NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF TTU
Points 68.7 84.0
Total Points   152.7
Points From 2-Pointers 25.6 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 22.0
Points From Free Throws 10.0 17.5
Shooting UNF TTU
Field Goals Made 23.8 29.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 59.7
Field Goal % 41.1% 49.6%
2 Pointers Made 12.8 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 25.5 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.5 19.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 10.0 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 22.4
Free Throw % 77.2% 78.5%
Ball Control UNF TTU
Rebounds 28.9 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 11.3
Turnovers 10.8 7.7
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.1
Steals 3.9 6.2
Fouls 15.2 11.6

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF TTU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 73.1
% of Possessions with UNF TTU
2 Point Attempt 32.8% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 41.7% 23.9%
Player Fouled 16.7% 21.8%
Turnover 15.6% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF TTU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.1% 34.6%