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N Florida at NC State
Fri Nov 27, 2020
5:30pm ET
Raleigh, NC
N Florida at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 21, Total Points: 154.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNF | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-12-1 | 20-20-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-6-0 | 13-12-1 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 9-6-1 | 12-11-1 |
N Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coastal Georgia | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Charl South | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 11/13 | Away | S Car State | -5.0 | L by 10 | -15.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Presbyterian | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NW State | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Maine | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | LSU | +22.0 | L by 12 | +10.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Iowa | +26.5 | L by 25 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | High Point | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Edward Waters | -- | W by 52 | -- |
| 12/09 | Home | GA Southern | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Trinity Baptist | (Pick) | W by 41 | +41.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Florida St | +16.0 | L by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Georgia | +16.5 | L by 18 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Miami | +19.5 | L by 40 | -20.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Stetson | +7.5 | L by 1 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +7.0 | W by 20 | +27.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Jacksonville | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Kennesaw St | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Bellarmine | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | E Kentucky | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Lipscomb | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Austin Peay | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | N Alabama | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Central Ark | -11.5 | L by 2 | -13.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Queens | +2.5 | W by 14 | +16.5 |
| 02/16 | Away | Kennesaw St | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Jacksonville | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -3.5 | L by 19 | -22.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Stetson | -2.0 | W by 19 | +17.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Austin Peay | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Citadel | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Abl Christian | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Charl South | -24.5 | W by 34 | +9.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | BYU | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Boston Col | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Maryland ES | -26.5 | W by 32 | +5.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | TN Martin | -19.5 | W by 14 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Saint Louis | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 17 | -6.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Virginia | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Syracuse | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Pittsburgh | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Syracuse | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Boston Col | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Duke | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duke | +11.0 | W by 5 | +16.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Virginia | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Oakland | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Marquette | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Duke | +7.0 | W by 12 | +19.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Purdue | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| NCST -21.0 | Open | -20.0 | High | -21.5 |
| Last | -21.5 | Low | -19.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 378 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20 to 22 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 368 times (97.4%).
- The team like North Florida won the game 10 times (2.6%).
- The team like NC State did better against the spread, going 187-180-11 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 9 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Florida did better against the spread, going 4-3-2 (57.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/27 05:29 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:28 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:20 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 02:05 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 01:35 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:23 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 12:02 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:26 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:41 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:29 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
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