NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU CHAR
Points 74.3 68.2
Total Points   142.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 19.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 13.2
Shooting FAU CHAR
Field Goals Made 26.4 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 56.1
Field Goal % 46.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 17.5
Free Throw % 72.6% 75.2%
Ball Control FAU CHAR
Rebounds 36.9 31.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.2
Turnovers 8.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 2.2
Steals 5.9 4.3
Fouls 14.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU CHAR
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.2 66.8
% of Possessions with FAU CHAR
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 26.5%
Player Fouled 22.6% 21.2%
Turnover 12.7% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU CHAR
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 24.1%