NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE TXST
Points 70.1 69.8
Total Points   139.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.5 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 16.4
Points From Free Throws 14.3 12.3
Shooting RICE TXST
Field Goals Made 24.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 59.4
Field Goal % 45.1% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 46.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 14.3 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 17.5
Free Throw % 69.2% 70.3%
Ball Control RICE TXST
Rebounds 34.3 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 10.4
Turnovers 11.7 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.4
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 13.3 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE TXST
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 70.1
% of Possessions with RICE TXST
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 54.4%
3 Point Attempt 25.7% 18.2%
Player Fouled 22.0% 19.0%
Turnover 16.7% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE TXST
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 28.8%