NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN CHSO
Points 76.9 72.0
Total Points   149.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.2 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 23.1
Points From Free Throws 14.1 16.4
Shooting KENN CHSO
Field Goals Made 28.1 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 58.4
Field Goal % 44.1% 41.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.6 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 21.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.1 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 23.6
Free Throw % 67.1% 69.7%
Ball Control KENN CHSO
Rebounds 38.5 39.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.2
Turnovers 8.3 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.2
Steals 6.0 3.7
Fouls 16.5 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Charl South

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN CHSO
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 72.8
% of Possessions with KENN CHSO
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 25.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 22.3%
Turnover 11.2% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 4.9% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN CHSO
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 26.5%