NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE LT
Points 65.2 75.5
Total Points   140.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.1 35.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 26.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 13.6
Shooting RICE LT
Field Goals Made 22.4 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 60.3
Field Goal % 39.3% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.5 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 41.9% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 40.7%
Free Throws Made 12.6 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 19.3
Free Throw % 69.2% 70.3%
Ball Control RICE LT
Rebounds 32.8 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 12.5
Turnovers 10.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 5.2
Steals 5.1 6.9
Fouls 13.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE LT
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 72.3
% of Possessions with RICE LT
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 25.7%
Player Fouled 19.5% 19.9%
Turnover 15.0% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE LT
Shot Blocked 8.8% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 34.0%