NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM USF
Points 66.8 74.9
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 32.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 25.6
Points From Free Throws 14.4 17.1
Shooting TEM USF
Field Goals Made 22.4 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 55.1
Field Goal % 38.0% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 16.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 30.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 14.4 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.5 23.5
Free Throw % 70.1% 72.6%
Ball Control TEM USF
Rebounds 35.7 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 8.5
Turnovers 9.5 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 6.0 5.5
Fouls 16.7 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM USF
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 69.4
% of Possessions with TEM USF
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 30.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 23.5%
Turnover 13.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM USF
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 24.9%