NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE IW
Points 81.4 68.7
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 26.1
Points From Free Throws 16.1 12.0
Shooting RICE IW
Field Goals Made 28.2 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 60.3
Field Goal % 47.9% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 16.1 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 16.8
Free Throw % 69.2% 71.7%
Ball Control RICE IW
Rebounds 37.5 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.8
Turnovers 9.1 12.2
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.7
Steals 6.4 5.5
Fouls 13.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE IW
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 70.7
% of Possessions with RICE IW
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 28.9%
Player Fouled 22.2% 18.1%
Turnover 12.6% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE IW
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 27.9%