NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE NWST
Points 78.1 68.2
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 21.7
Points From Free Throws 16.4 11.2
Shooting RICE NWST
Field Goals Made 27.2 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 61.4
Field Goal % 48.4% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 16.4 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 17.3
Free Throw % 69.2% 64.9%
Ball Control RICE NWST
Rebounds 39.4 33.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.0
Turnovers 11.0 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 2.9
Steals 5.4 6.4
Fouls 13.2 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE NWST
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 71.6
% of Possessions with RICE NWST
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 25.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 18.6%
Turnover 15.5% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE NWST
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 27.8%