NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE NWST
Points 81.7 75.6
Total Points   157.2
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 34.4 24.7
Points From Free Throws 17.4 14.0
Shooting RICE NWST
Field Goals Made 26.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 60.6
Field Goal % 42.7% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.5 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 17.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 19.6
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.5%
Ball Control RICE NWST
Rebounds 38.3 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.9
Turnovers 10.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 2.0 3.2
Steals 6.5 4.4
Fouls 15.7 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE NWST
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 73.2
% of Possessions with RICE NWST
2 Point Attempt 35.4% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 26.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 20.6%
Turnover 14.0% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE NWST
Shot Blocked 5.3% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.2% 26.7%