NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU EMU
Points 85.1 63.0
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 45.2 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 17.5
Points From Free Throws 16.6 8.4
Shooting FAU EMU
Field Goals Made 30.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 61.6
Field Goal % 51.4% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 22.6 18.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 63.5% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 30.3%
Free Throws Made 16.6 8.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 12.6
Free Throw % 72.6% 66.6%
Ball Control FAU EMU
Rebounds 41.3 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 21.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.5
Turnovers 8.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 1.7
Steals 7.1 4.5
Fouls 12.1 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: E Michigan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU EMU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.5 69.6
% of Possessions with FAU EMU
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 52.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 23.6%
Player Fouled 22.8% 17.1%
Turnover 12.2% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU EMU
Shot Blocked 2.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 35.3% 24.3%