NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM LAS
Points 71.0 72.5
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 24.7
Points From Free Throws 15.1 11.6
Shooting TEM LAS
Field Goals Made 24.4 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 60.1
Field Goal % 40.2% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.4% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 24.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 15.1 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 16.3
Free Throw % 70.1% 71.6%
Ball Control TEM LAS
Rebounds 38.1 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.6
Turnovers 7.6 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 5.4 4.8
Fouls 13.5 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: La Salle

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM LAS
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 69.9
% of Possessions with TEM LAS
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 30.3%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.2%
Turnover 10.8% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM LAS
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 23.7%