NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN LIB
Points 76.3 81.7
Total Points   158.0
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 33.4
Points From Free Throws 12.3 13.9
Shooting KENN LIB
Field Goals Made 28.4 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 58.4
Field Goal % 47.8% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 30.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 28.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 12.3 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 21.6
Free Throw % 67.1% 64.5%
Ball Control KENN LIB
Rebounds 34.1 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.7
Turnovers 10.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.7
Steals 5.3 4.8
Fouls 18.2 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Kennesaw St

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN LIB
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 70.8
% of Possessions with KENN LIB
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 36.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 34.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 24.7%
Turnover 14.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN LIB
Shot Blocked 4.7% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 22.6%