NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN JVST
Points 74.5 75.0
Total Points   149.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 16.1
Points From Free Throws 14.6 20.3
Shooting KENN JVST
Field Goals Made 25.8 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 55.1
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 14.6 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 29.5
Free Throw % 67.1% 68.8%
Ball Control KENN JVST
Rebounds 31.7 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 12.3
Turnovers 11.2 12.3
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.3
Steals 6.2 6.5
Fouls 18.7 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kennesaw St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN JVST
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 73.6
% of Possessions with KENN JVST
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 18.1%
Player Fouled 23.5% 25.4%
Turnover 15.3% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN JVST
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 34.3%