NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU USM
Points 80.5 66.1
Total Points   146.6
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 19.1
Points From Free Throws 17.3 12.2
Shooting FAU USM
Field Goals Made 27.8 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 60.0
Field Goal % 46.7% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 42.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 12.2
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 17.4
Free Throw % 72.6% 70.5%
Ball Control FAU USM
Rebounds 40.5 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.0 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 10.0
Turnovers 9.8 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.1
Steals 8.0 5.3
Fouls 13.6 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU USM
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 71.1
% of Possessions with FAU USM
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 22.7%
Player Fouled 23.3% 18.8%
Turnover 13.5% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU USM
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 25.7%