NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE UNT
Points 65.2 75.0
Total Points   140.1
Points From 2-Pointers 30.9 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 30.3
Points From Free Throws 12.6 11.3
Shooting RICE UNT
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 59.7
Field Goal % 42.9% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 46.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 42.4%
Free Throws Made 12.6 11.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 15.1
Free Throw % 69.2% 75.1%
Ball Control RICE UNT
Rebounds 32.8 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.0
Turnovers 11.3 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.6
Steals 4.8 7.2
Fouls 11.9 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: North Texas

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE UNT
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 68.7
% of Possessions with RICE UNT
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 30.3%
Player Fouled 21.2% 17.9%
Turnover 17.0% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 10.9% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE UNT
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 31.7%