NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU ODU
Points 84.5 68.4
Total Points   152.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 26.6 21.3
Points From Free Throws 21.3 9.1
Shooting FAU ODU
Field Goals Made 27.2 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 65.6
Field Goal % 47.6% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 21.3 9.1
Free Throws Attempted 29.4 13.9
Free Throw % 72.6% 65.9%
Ball Control FAU ODU
Rebounds 44.1 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 32.3 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 9.6
Turnovers 10.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.9
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 12.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU ODU
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 74.1
% of Possessions with FAU ODU
2 Point Attempt 37.0% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 26.2%
Player Fouled 24.4% 16.4%
Turnover 14.7% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU ODU
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 34.1% 22.9%