NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM SMU
Points 68.2 77.6
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 30.7 41.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.2 21.1
Points From Free Throws 14.3 14.8
Shooting TEM SMU
Field Goals Made 23.1 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 61.5
Field Goal % 38.6% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.4 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.6
Free Throw % 70.1% 68.6%
Ball Control TEM SMU
Rebounds 34.3 42.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 29.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 13.5
Turnovers 9.9 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.2
Steals 6.6 6.6
Fouls 13.6 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM SMU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 74.8
% of Possessions with TEM SMU
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 25.4%
Player Fouled 20.7% 19.2%
Turnover 13.9% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM SMU
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 36.1%