NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN UNF
Points 81.0 83.7
Total Points   164.7
Points From 2-Pointers 44.5 27.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 39.0
Points From Free Throws 15.5 17.5
Shooting KENN UNF
Field Goals Made 29.3 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 64.0 58.3
Field Goal % 45.7% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 13.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 25.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 53.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 22.6
Free Throw % 67.1% 77.2%
Ball Control KENN UNF
Rebounds 38.0 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 7.7
Turnovers 9.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.2
Steals 6.5 5.0
Fouls 16.4 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: N Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN UNF
Total Possessions 75.5
Effective Scoring Chances 77.6 71.8
% of Possessions with KENN UNF
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 30.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 38.9%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.8%
Turnover 12.1% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN UNF
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 22.4%