NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM WICH
Points 69.3 73.1
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 17.1
Points From Free Throws 12.8 12.8
Shooting TEM WICH
Field Goals Made 24.2 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 58.8
Field Goal % 38.3% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 40.5
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 12.8 12.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 18.3
Free Throw % 70.1% 69.7%
Ball Control TEM WICH
Rebounds 35.1 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 9.8
Turnovers 7.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.0
Steals 7.8 5.2
Fouls 13.1 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM WICH
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 70.1
% of Possessions with TEM WICH
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 22.1%
Player Fouled 18.5% 18.3%
Turnover 11.1% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM WICH
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 28.4%