NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM USC
Points 66.5 78.1
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 25.3 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 22.2
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.4
Shooting TEM USC
Field Goals Made 21.7 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 56.4
Field Goal % 35.8% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.7 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.7 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 22.2
Free Throw % 70.1% 69.5%
Ball Control TEM USC
Rebounds 33.2 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.4
Turnovers 10.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.5 5.6
Steals 7.0 6.3
Fouls 15.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Temple

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM USC
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.0 70.2
% of Possessions with TEM USC
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.7%
Turnover 14.1% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM USC
Shot Blocked 10.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 28.7%