NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU KSU
Points 74.9 73.3
Total Points   148.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 21.8
Points From Free Throws 18.2 14.4
Shooting FAU KSU
Field Goals Made 25.0 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 58.9
Field Goal % 41.6% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 22.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 18.2 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 20.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 71.9%
Ball Control FAU KSU
Rebounds 37.0 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 11.5
Turnovers 9.5 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.7
Steals 7.8 4.5
Fouls 15.6 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU KSU
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 75.8 71.8
% of Possessions with FAU KSU
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 26.1%
Player Fouled 23.4% 21.3%
Turnover 13.0% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 10.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU KSU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 31.7%