NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR WIN
Points 77.9 76.6
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.4 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 20.0
Points From Free Throws 14.5 17.9
Shooting FUR WIN
Field Goals Made 26.2 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.4 54.2
Field Goal % 42.6% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 26.3 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 14.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 25.8
Free Throw % 72.6% 69.3%
Ball Control FUR WIN
Rebounds 36.1 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 8.4
Turnovers 10.7 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.8
Steals 6.5 5.2
Fouls 19.4 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Winthrop

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR WIN
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.1 69.7
% of Possessions with FUR WIN
2 Point Attempt 30.6% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 40.8% 24.2%
Player Fouled 20.5% 26.6%
Turnover 14.6% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR WIN
Shot Blocked 5.2% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.1% 25.9%