NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR VMI
Points 88.2 68.8
Total Points   157.0
Points From 2-Pointers 41.5 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 31.6 16.6
Points From Free Throws 15.0 10.6
Shooting FUR VMI
Field Goals Made 31.3 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 60.9
Field Goal % 47.9% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 41.9
2 Point Shooting % 60.0% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 29.3%
Free Throws Made 15.0 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 15.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 70.4%
Ball Control FUR VMI
Rebounds 40.4 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 7.3
Turnovers 9.5 13.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 8.6 5.0
Fouls 13.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: VMI

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR VMI
Total Possessions 76.7
Effective Scoring Chances 78.1 70.2
% of Possessions with FUR VMI
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 49.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 22.3%
Player Fouled 18.6% 17.8%
Turnover 12.3% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR VMI
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 19.8%