NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR HP
Points 79.7 82.6
Total Points   162.3
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.5 20.9
Points From Free Throws 16.0 18.7
Shooting FUR HP
Field Goals Made 27.8 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 59.3
Field Goal % 45.5% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 56.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.7 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 16.0 18.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 24.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 77.9%
Ball Control FUR HP
Rebounds 32.4 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.8
Turnovers 8.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.6
Steals 4.8 4.6
Fouls 17.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR HP
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 74.2
% of Possessions with FUR HP
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.1% 24.0%
Turnover 11.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR HP
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 31.8%