NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR WEBB
Points 78.3 74.8
Total Points   153.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.4 21.6
Points From Free Throws 15.0 12.3
Shooting FUR WEBB
Field Goals Made 27.2 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 59.7
Field Goal % 45.2% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 15.0 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.7 20.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 61.5%
Ball Control FUR WEBB
Rebounds 36.7 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 9.2
Turnovers 9.6 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.7
Steals 5.8 5.4
Fouls 14.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR WEBB
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.9 72.0
% of Possessions with FUR WEBB
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.9% 20.4%
Turnover 13.1% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR WEBB
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 25.2%