NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR SCUS
Points 79.3 71.5
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 26.9 20.6
Points From Free Throws 17.3 10.5
Shooting FUR SCUS
Field Goals Made 26.5 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 58.2
Field Goal % 45.6% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 30.4 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 54.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 17.3 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 16.4
Free Throw % 72.6% 64.0%
Ball Control FUR SCUS
Rebounds 39.5 30.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 6.7
Turnovers 10.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.7
Steals 6.1 6.3
Fouls 14.9 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: SC Upstate

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR SCUS
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 68.1
% of Possessions with FUR SCUS
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 26.6%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.7%
Turnover 15.0% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR SCUS
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 19.5%