NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR WOF
Points 77.8 76.4
Total Points   154.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 40.1
Points From 3-Pointers 33.2 26.7
Points From Free Throws 14.7 9.5
Shooting FUR WOF
Field Goals Made 26.0 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.0 60.2
Field Goal % 43.3% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 28.1 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 57.7%
3 Pointers Made 11.1 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 14.7 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 15.4
Free Throw % 72.6% 61.9%
Ball Control FUR WOF
Rebounds 34.4 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.5
Turnovers 8.0 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.0
Steals 6.1 3.9
Fouls 13.9 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR WOF
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 70.0
% of Possessions with FUR WOF
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 39.3% 31.4%
Player Fouled 20.5% 19.7%
Turnover 11.3% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR WOF
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 27.5%