NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU CHAR
Points 68.4 74.3
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 18.1
Points From Free Throws 11.7 18.8
Shooting GSU CHAR
Field Goals Made 25.3 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 53.9
Field Goal % 41.6% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 11.7 18.8
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 25.0
Free Throw % 75.0% 75.2%
Ball Control GSU CHAR
Rebounds 33.6 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.8
Turnovers 7.5 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 4.2 4.2
Fouls 16.8 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU CHAR
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 68.9
% of Possessions with GSU CHAR
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.9% 27.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 24.8%
Turnover 11.1% 11.3%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU CHAR
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 26.8%