NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU UAB
Points 69.7 84.7
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 21.2
Points From Free Throws 10.2 20.1
Shooting FIU UAB
Field Goals Made 25.5 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 56.7
Field Goal % 41.0% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.9 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.4 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 42.5%
Free Throws Made 10.2 20.1
Free Throws Attempted 15.7 27.1
Free Throw % 65.0% 74.3%
Ball Control FIU UAB
Rebounds 27.9 43.3
Rebounds - Defensive 18.2 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.5
Turnovers 11.7 13.5
Blocked Shots 4.8 4.5
Steals 8.6 6.2
Fouls 17.0 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU UAB
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 73.7
% of Possessions with FIU UAB
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 18.7%
Player Fouled 17.8% 23.1%
Turnover 15.8% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU UAB
Shot Blocked 8.0% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 42.5%