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Pittsburgh at Duke
Tue Jan 28, 2020
9:00pm ET
Durham, NC
Pittsburgh at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 16.5, Total Points: 135
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-9-3 | 21-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-1-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 11-6-1 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-3-2 | 10-7-1 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC A&T | -23.5 | W by 48 | +24.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 29 | +11.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | -16.0 | W by 51 | +35.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Canisius | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Car State | -28.5 | W by 36 | +7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | IPFW | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Duke | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Syracuse | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | NC State | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 33 | -27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | VA Tech | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
| DUKE -16.5 | Open | -16.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -16.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 863 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 817 times (94.7%).
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 46 times (5.3%).
- The team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 434-419-10 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3238 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 1591-1587-60 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -16.5 | -16.5 |
| Open | -17.0 | -16.0 | -16.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/28 08:56 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 06:00 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 04:45 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:42 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:06 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:44 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:20 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:28 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:18 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:14 AM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 01/28 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 01/28 09:34 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 08:08 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 07:34 AM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 01/28 07:30 AM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 07:25 AM | -- | -- | -16.0 |
| 01/27 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -16.5 |
| 01/27 09:44 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 01/27 06:50 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:14 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
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