NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV ALCN
Points 73.6 80.0
Total Points   153.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 45.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 14.9
Points From Free Throws 15.3 19.3
Shooting PV ALCN
Field Goals Made 26.4 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 53.5
Field Goal % 47.4% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.3% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 13.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.3 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 26.8
Free Throw % 70.5% 72.2%
Ball Control PV ALCN
Rebounds 25.9 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 17.8 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.1
Turnovers 10.6 13.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.0
Steals 7.2 5.9
Fouls 17.1 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Alcorn St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV ALCN
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 70.6
% of Possessions with PV ALCN
2 Point Attempt 48.6% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 15.5%
Player Fouled 24.3% 24.0%
Turnover 14.8% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV ALCN
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 40.4%