NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI BRAD
Points 64.7 72.1
Total Points   136.8
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.3 27.4
Points From Free Throws 16.9 11.0
Shooting UNI BRAD
Field Goals Made 20.7 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 52.6 55.1
Field Goal % 39.3% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 16.9 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.8 14.8
Free Throw % 70.8% 74.3%
Ball Control UNI BRAD
Rebounds 32.4 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 7.4
Turnovers 10.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.9
Steals 6.3 6.2
Fouls 13.8 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI BRAD
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 64.5
% of Possessions with UNI BRAD
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 32.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 20.2%
Turnover 14.6% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI BRAD
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 23.6%