NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU BEL
Points 64.1 81.7
Total Points   145.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 28.6
Points From Free Throws 10.7 15.3
Shooting EIU BEL
Field Goals Made 23.9 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 53.2
Field Goal % 38.2% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 44.0 29.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.8% 64.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.6% 40.3%
Free Throws Made 10.7 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 20.9
Free Throw % 73.7% 73.1%
Ball Control EIU BEL
Rebounds 31.7 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 6.1
Turnovers 9.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 7.1 5.8
Fouls 17.0 11.9

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU BEL
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 65.6
% of Possessions with EIU BEL
2 Point Attempt 53.2% 37.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 30.0%
Player Fouled 16.7% 23.8%
Turnover 13.8% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU BEL
Shot Blocked 6.4% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 21.8%