NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP CHSO
Points 79.0 64.9
Total Points   143.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.1 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 16.9
Points From Free Throws 19.5 13.8
Shooting HP CHSO
Field Goals Made 26.9 22.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 58.5
Field Goal % 44.9% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 21.1 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 41.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 28.4% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 19.5 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.0 19.8
Free Throw % 77.9% 69.7%
Ball Control HP CHSO
Rebounds 42.3 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 9.1
Turnovers 7.6 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 4.5 2.8
Fouls 14.8 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP CHSO
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 70.5
% of Possessions with HP CHSO
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 21.9%
Player Fouled 24.6% 21.0%
Turnover 10.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 4.0% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP CHSO
Shot Blocked 4.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.2% 23.2%