NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI COLO
Points 70.3 78.9
Total Points   149.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 21.2
Points From Free Throws 13.2 14.7
Shooting UNI COLO
Field Goals Made 25.4 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 54.3
Field Goal % 45.0% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 40.4%
Free Throws Made 13.2 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 19.3
Free Throw % 70.8% 76.0%
Ball Control UNI COLO
Rebounds 27.1 35.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.2 7.4
Turnovers 8.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.2
Steals 6.5 5.5
Fouls 16.4 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI COLO
Total Possessions 70.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 66.1
% of Possessions with UNI COLO
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 46.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 22.3%
Player Fouled 20.3% 23.4%
Turnover 12.2% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI COLO
Shot Blocked 4.1% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 18.1% 26.3%