NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI DRKE
Points 71.0 76.7
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 25.8
Points From Free Throws 15.5 14.1
Shooting UNI DRKE
Field Goals Made 24.5 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 56.6
Field Goal % 45.4% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.2 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 36.9%
Free Throws Made 15.5 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 18.9
Free Throw % 70.8% 74.8%
Ball Control UNI DRKE
Rebounds 32.5 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 6.3
Turnovers 9.7 9.0
Blocked Shots 2.2 1.6
Steals 5.4 5.7
Fouls 16.0 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Drake

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI DRKE
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 67.8
% of Possessions with UNI DRKE
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.5% 30.0%
Player Fouled 23.2% 22.7%
Turnover 13.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI DRKE
Shot Blocked 2.9% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 19.4%