NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV AAMU
Points 66.3 70.2
Total Points   136.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 10.1
Points From Free Throws 19.8 22.2
Shooting PV AAMU
Field Goals Made 21.2 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 46.4
Field Goal % 38.8% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 53.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 3.4
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 10.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 19.8 22.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.0 30.8
Free Throw % 70.5% 72.3%
Ball Control PV AAMU
Rebounds 28.8 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 18.8 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 10.3
Turnovers 12.6 18.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.8
Steals 10.7 6.6
Fouls 19.5 20.3

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV AAMU
Total Possessions 74.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 66.4
% of Possessions with PV AAMU
2 Point Attempt 48.3% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 15.4% 12.5%
Player Fouled 27.3% 26.1%
Turnover 16.9% 24.8%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 14.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV AAMU
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 35.5%