NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU UGA
Points 69.3 84.5
Total Points   153.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.8 38.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.4 30.4
Points From Free Throws 9.1 16.2
Shooting FIU UGA
Field Goals Made 25.8 29.1
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 57.2
Field Goal % 40.7% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.5 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 44.5%
Free Throws Made 9.1 16.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 22.6
Free Throw % 65.0% 71.6%
Ball Control FIU UGA
Rebounds 30.5 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 10.3
Turnovers 11.7 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.5
Steals 8.2 6.1
Fouls 16.2 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU UGA
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 72.2 71.2
% of Possessions with FIU UGA
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 39.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 26.2%
Player Fouled 16.2% 21.7%
Turnover 15.6% 18.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 11.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU UGA
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 32.5%