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Georgia St at Buffalo
Sat Feb 8, 2025
2:00pm ET
Buffalo, NY
Georgia St at Buffalo: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Georgia State by 3, Total Points: 160.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | GSU | adv | BUFF |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-13-0 | 13-16-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-0 | 7-11-0 | |
| Streak | W3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-5-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| Away | 10-8-0 | 9-7-0 |
Georgia St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Home | Ball St | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | Mississippi St | +23.5 | L by 35 | -11.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Jacksonville St | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Toccoa Falls | -- | W by 40 | -- |
| 11/22 | Home | NC Central | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Austin Peay | -1.5 | L by 12 | -13.5 |
| 11/27 | Neutral | Tulsa | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Kentucky | +30.5 | L by 29 | +1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Kennesaw St | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Charlotte | -1.5 | L by 14 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Auburn | +39.5 | L by 41 | -1.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Troy | +12.0 | L by 20 | -8.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Mercer | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | S Alabama | +4.5 | L by 26 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Louisiana | -1.0 | W by 24 | +23.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Georgia So | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Coastal Car | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Texas St | +9.5 | L by 14 | -4.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Arkansas St | +16.5 | L by 26 | -9.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Marshall | +6.0 | L by 13 | -7.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | J Madison | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Marshall | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | App State | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | UL Monroe | -7.0 | W by 33 | +26.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Buffalo | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -2.5 | W by 22 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | App State | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | J Madison | +11.0 | L by 20 | -9.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Old Dominion | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | Coastal Car | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Georgia So | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 03/06 | Neutral | Georgia So | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Marshall | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04 | Away | Old Dominion | +10.5 | W by 1 | +11.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Fredonia St. | -- | W by 9 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Notre Dame | +23.5 | L by 9 | +14.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Bryant | +6.5 | L by 23 | -16.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Vermont | +17.0 | L by 11 | +6.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Morgan St | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | NC A&T | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Penn St | +28.5 | L by 23 | +5.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Pittsburgh-Bradford | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 12/07 | Away | St Bonaventure | +17.5 | L by 10 | +7.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Georgia | +26.5 | L by 51 | -24.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Temple | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Miami OH | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Ohio | +12.0 | L by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kent St | +11.0 | L by 19 | -8.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | Bowling Green | +8.0 | L by 18 | -10.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | W Michigan | +8.5 | W by 9 | +17.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Akron | +12.5 | L by 32 | -19.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | E Michigan | +6.0 | L by 13 | -7.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | C Michigan | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Ball St | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 02/04 | Away | Toledo | +12.5 | L by 13 | -0.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Georgia St | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | N Illinois | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Bowling Green | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | W Michigan | +2.0 | L by 33 | -31.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Ball St | +9.0 | L by 14 | -5.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | C Michigan | +13.5 | L by 4 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Toledo | +7.0 | W by 13 | +20.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Miami OH | +8.5 | L by 15 | -6.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Akron | +18.5 | L by 18 | +0.5 |
| GSU -3.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2608 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Georgia St. won the game 1511 times (57.9%).
- The team like Buffalo won the game 1097 times (42.1%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1298-1244-66 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2021-2022 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3638 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 1791-1778-69 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 01:41 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 11:26 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 10:42 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 10:23 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 07:31 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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