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Pittsburgh at Louisville
Fri Dec 6, 2019
9:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Pittsburgh at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 12.5, Total Points: 129.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-9-3 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-1-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 11-6-1 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 10-3-2 | 8-6-0 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC A&T | -23.5 | W by 48 | +24.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 29 | +11.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | -16.0 | W by 51 | +35.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Canisius | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Car State | -28.5 | W by 36 | +7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | IPFW | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Duke | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Syracuse | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | NC State | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 33 | -27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | VA Tech | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| LOU -12.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -12.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1283 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12 to 14 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 1152 times (89.8%).
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 131 times (10.2%).
- The team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 645-604-34 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3868 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 1903-1889-76 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.0 | -12.5 | -12.5 |
| Open | -14.5 | -14.5 | -14.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/06 08:53 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:51 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:34 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 12/06 07:18 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:54 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/06 06:41 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/06 06:29 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:04 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 02:48 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:04 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 01:55 PM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 12/06 01:54 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 12:18 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 11:46 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 11:04 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/06 10:56 AM | -- | -- | -12.0 |
| 12/06 10:46 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:15 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/06 10:07 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/06 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/06 08:58 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/06 07:56 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:57 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:25 PM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/05 06:03 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 05:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/05 05:14 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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