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Pittsburgh at Virginia
Fri Dec 3, 2021
8:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Pittsburgh at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 14.5, Total Points: 112.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-9-3 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-1-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 11-6-1 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 10-3-2 | 7-10-0 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC A&T | -23.5 | W by 48 | +24.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 29 | +11.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | -16.0 | W by 51 | +35.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Canisius | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Car State | -28.5 | W by 36 | +7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | IPFW | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Duke | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Syracuse | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | NC State | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 33 | -27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | VA Tech | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| UVA -14.5 | Open | -15.0 | High | -15.0 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -13.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1144 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13.5 to 15.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 1052 times (92.0%).
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 92 times (8.0%).
- The team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 569-556-19 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4283 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 2104-2092-87 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| Open | -14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| History | |||
| 12/03 07:25 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:25 PM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 12/03 07:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/03 06:59 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 12/03 06:25 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/03 05:14 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/03 05:07 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 03:07 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 02:46 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 12:56 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 12:35 PM | -- | -- | -13.5 |
| 12/03 12:26 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 12:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/03 11:10 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 10:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/03 10:26 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 09:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/03 09:40 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 09:13 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:58 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/03 08:35 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/03 08:29 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:07 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 04:45 AM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/03 04:44 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/03 01:55 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 12:15 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/03 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 12/02 10:16 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 05:44 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 05:31 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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