NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PITT RMU
Points 83.5 60.2
Total Points   143.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 27.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 22.9
Points From Free Throws 16.4 9.8
Shooting PITT RMU
Field Goals Made 28.8 21.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 57.7
Field Goal % 48.3% 37.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 13.7
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 31.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.8% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 26.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 28.9%
Free Throws Made 16.4 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 14.1
Free Throw % 73.0% 69.8%
Ball Control PITT RMU
Rebounds 39.6 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 9.5
Turnovers 6.6 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.3 2.3
Steals 6.3 3.1
Fouls 11.9 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Pittsburgh

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PITT RMU
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.2 66.3
% of Possessions with PITT RMU
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 30.2% 33.0%
Player Fouled 23.4% 17.2%
Turnover 9.6% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 4.6% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PITT RMU
Shot Blocked 4.1% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 24.8%